France vs Italy Betting Tip France -16 Handicap – 28th November 2020

France to cruise past Italy in Autumn Nations Cup

Matteo Minozzi / Italy ©imago images / ZUMA Press 11/14/2020

France France vs Italy Italy
28th November 2010hrs
Rugby – France – Autumn Nations Cup
Pick France – 16 handicap
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November

France came through a big test last weekend, securing a win at Murrayfield against Scotland in the Autumn Nations Cup.

That leaves them with this final group game against Italy, a game France needs to earn the top spot.

Victory will see them move ahead of Scotland at the top with everyone’s games against Fiji having been cancelled in the section.

Bet at Unibet


France Preview – France expected to ease past Italy

After having lost their four previous trips to Murrayfield, including during this year’s Six Nations, France had a tough game last weekend.

They visited Scotland and managed to put a positive result on the board however as they won 22-15.

That gives them a three-match winning streak since their loss to the Scots during the Six Nations.

The wins have been against Wales, Ireland and Scotland.

So they are trending well in form and the French are 1/10 odds-on favourites to take the win on Saturday* (odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November).

In this year’s Six Nations Championship, France took a 35-22 home win against a spirited Italy on the day.

That is a nine match winning streak that the French are on against the Azzurri.

Our betting prediction:
France +15 Winning Margin

Bet at Unibet

(odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November)


For rugby betting in the hand, handicaps are naturally going to come into play here for extended options.

A France -16 handicap is at 10/11 and that doesn’t look unreasonable* (odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November).

France are in a very good place at the moment and each of their last three home wins over Italy have been by a margin of at least 13 points.

So we can get there to see France (who have scored at least 34 match points in their last three fixtures against Italy on home soil) get the comfortable margin.


Italy Preview – Can Italy cause an upset?

The Italins have had their moments here and there since the autumn rugby kicked into gear.

They proved to be more stubborn opposition to England in Rome in their final Six Nations match then expected.

They still lost that match, but gave a fairly decent account of themselves.

Then in their opening Autumn nations cup match they were matching Scotland in Florence at the half time break.

The Azzzuri went on top lose 17-28 but again, they had their moments.

They have had a week’s rest with their fixture against Fiji having been cancelled for last weekend.

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Italy last scored a win over France back in 2013 on home soil. That’s the issue.

Their only two wins over France since entering the Six Nations Championships in 2000 have happened in Rome.

So we don’t see them lasting the full 80 minutes as a competitive force against France, who are rolling at the moment.


France vs Italy Betting Advice

We only see a win for France happening here. They are progressing very well at the moment and look like a big challenger for next season’s Six Nations title.

This is just progress towards that.

They weren’t at their sharpest when they met Italy in the Six Nations at the Stade de France this year.

The France -16 rugby betting handicap immediately appeals at 10/11* * (odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November).


Key Facts – France vs Italy Betting Tip

  • France have won the last nine meetings
  • France have lost only two matches against Italy since 2000
  • Italy have not beaten a Tier 1 team since November 2016


We see France getting up ahead of steam later in the match in particular and we think there’s a bonus-point win for them.

With than in mind a France 15+ winning margin for a quote of 13/5 will tickle our fancy for longer odds* (odds taken 19:17 GMT Wednesday, 25th November)


The best betting odds for France vs Italy

France to win: 1/12 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Italy to win: 13/2 at Bet365