Hamburg Vs Hertha Berlin Betting Tip: Home or Draw/BTTS – 23 May 2022

Hertha may score but Hamburg will prevail?

Maximilian Mittelstädt / Hertha Berlin ©IMAGO / Baering 17.07.2021

Germany Hamburg Vs Hertha Berlin Germany

Monday, 23 May 2022 – 19:30 (BST)
German Bundesliga Play-Off
Pick: Hamburg or Draw/Both Teams to Score
Odds: 6/5
Bookmaker: Betfair (Bet Builder)
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 21 May 2022)

Preview: One of these teams is going to end the night incredibly disappointed at the prospect of playing next season’s football in the German second tier. As things stand, that team will be Hertha Berlin, who trail Hamburg 1-0 ahead of Monday’s return fixture at the latter’s Volksparkstadion.

German Bundesliga Play-Off Betting at Betfair


Hamburg – Can the Bundesliga 2. side protect what they have?

As winning goals go, Ludovit Reis’ cross-shot in the first-leg was undoubtedly fortuitous – but how crucial could it prove to be as HSV inch closer to a Bundesliga return? The other question, of course, is can they successfully protect such a slender advantage. Their body of work both across 2021-22 as a whole but also recently, suggests there is no reason why their four-year stay in Germany’s second tier will be prolonged.

Die Rothosen need only avoid defeat in this home leg, and that augurs well. Volksparkstadion has been the reliable backdrop behind the club’s concerted efforts for promotion, with the team finishing the regular season having lost only twice in front of their fans (W9 D6 L2). Meanwhile, a five-game win streak saw them sneak into the play-off berth on goal difference, recording three straights victories at this venue.

Key Stat: Hamburg navigated the entire 2021-22 Bundesliga 2 campaign without firing a single blank in front of their fans, notching at least once across all 17 home league games this term. They scored 2+ in 12 of those fixtures.


Hamburg Win & Over 2.5 Goals



Hertha Berlin – Onus on Berliners to win at Volksparkstadion?

A first Bundesliga relegation in ten years looms large for Die Alte Dame. Having only dropped into the relegation play-off on the last day of the season – their inability to retain an early lead away at Borussia Dortmund meant they slipped to 16th after Stuttgart’s last-gasp winner at home to FC Koln – perhaps the shock wasn’t quite out of their system. Lacking guile and purpose in Thursday’s first-leg.

That defeat made it four without a win for Felix Magath’s charges, three of which were losses by single-goal margins. Just four of nine regular season wins saw them prevail by more than the odd goal, doing so once on their travels having won only three of 17 said fixtures (W3 D3 L11) all season long. Turning this tie around won’t be easy then, though Hertha have found the net in each of their last four away from home.

Key Stat: If Hertha Berlin are to turn the tie around, they will probably have to do it the hard way. The Berliners registered just two away clean sheets from 17 attempts during the regular season.

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Hamburg Vs Hertha Berlin Betting Advice

The team hailing from the top-flight are the ones tasked with the chasing, which could play into the hands of Hamburg. Monday’s hosts lost only two of 17 regular season matches at Volksparkstadion, winning their previous three such outings by a combined score of 9-1. Hertha Berlin, meanwhile, claimed a meagre three victories across as many away outings in this season’s Bundesliga campaign.


Hamburg Vs Hertha Berlin – Key Facts:

  • Fortune favoured Hamburg in the first leg, Ludovic Reis’ cross-cum-shot the only thing separating the teams. Both sides mustered three shots on target in the opening contest.
  • Hertha Berlin need a win therefore, and did precisely this upon last visiting Volksparkstadion – a 2-1 victory in March 2018 when both clubs were in the Bundesliga.
  • However, Hamburg were notoriously difficult to beat on their own patch this term, losing only two of 17 such matches (W9 D6). All but one of their nine home victories were in games containing three or more goals.


Hertha Berlin were not merely lacklustre first time around but momentum has flat-lined. Conversely, Hamburg are flying, with that first-leg success a sixth win on the trot, which includes their last three as hosts. A bright spot might be Hertha scoring in each of their last four away matches, but they still only won once (D1 L2). Therefore it could be worthwhile combining both teams scoring with Hamburg not losing.

Best Betting Odds – Hamburg Vs Hertha Berlin

Hamburg – 5/4
Draw – 23/10
Hertha Berlin – 21/10

(Odds courtesy of Betfair)