Leicester Tigers vs Newcastle Falcons
28th March 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Coral
Odds: 62/25 odds taken 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021
The final game for Premiership Rugby betting this weekend is Sunday’s clash of Leicester v Newcastle.
The Newcastle Falcons have been struggling for form lately, losing their last three league games on the spin.
Will they be able to stop the rot as they visit Welford Road?
Leicester missed a chance to make it three league wins in a row last weekend.
Table of Contents
Leicester Tigers Preview – Tigers to snap back to winning ways?
Leicester Tigers suffered loss against Exeter in their last league fixture. That was a 47-31 loss at Sandy Park.
So the Tigers put up a valiant effort there, putting plenty of points on the board against the reigning Premiership champions.
That saw the Tigers miss a chance of three wins on the spin in the top flight, leaving them W4 L4 in the last eight rounds.
They do have some home form going however.
Plus, considering that Newcastle are turning out on a losing streak, the home win is favoured for Premiership Rugby Betting.
Leicester to win rugby betting odds: 1/3
* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021)
The Tigers have lost only once at Welford Road in all competitors since Ealy December when Sale showed up and beat them.
So it’s been great form from them. Across the course of the season, including cancelled fixture adjustments Leicester are W7 L7.
From their home matches played in this campaign, Leicester are W5 L2.
Of the wins that they have taken, three of them have been by a margin of at least 17 points.
The other two were by five points or fewer.
But we do think it’s worth pushing the handicap line a little here as Leicester have been decent enough in attack.
They have scored at least 27 points in each of their last two at Welford Road.
Leicester -7 handicap rugby betting odds: 10/11
* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021)
Next on to the head to head for Leicester v Newcastle rugby betting.
They did not get to meet at Kingston Park earlier this season, as their round 4 scheduled fixture was cancelled.
The declared victory went to Newcastle on that occasion.
Across the last five years, the only time that Leicester have actually lost a match to Newcastle was in 2018.
That was in a narrow two-point margin at Welford Road in April.
There is a big chance at four points for Leicester in this fixture we feel.
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Slumping Newcastle may find the going tough
It has been three straight league defeats for Newcastle Falcons in Premiership rugby.
Last weekend they went down at home against Wasps, only narrowly but that will have been a disappointing result.
In none of their last three games played now in the top tier, have Newcastle Falcons managed to get to 20 points in a fixture.
They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the division and it’s likely to be their downfall at Welford Road.
Only one of Newcastle’s last five matches in the Premiership have been away from home. That ended in a loss at Sale.
Newcastle to win rugby betting odds: 13/5
* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021)
From their eleven completed matches in this campaign, Newcastle are W5 L1.
On their league gavels The Falcons are W2 L3.
Their victories happened at Wasps and Bath, the losses at London Irish, Bristol and Sale.
It is worth noting that each of their away defeats this season have been by a margin of at least seven points.
So the handicap line of a +7 on the Falcons is right there and at this point, with their losing streak, it looks a little bit risky.
They have provided an average of 20 points per away fixture this season.
Newcastle +7 handicap rugby betting odds: Even money
* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021)
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We are looking at a team now who have claimed one league victory since early January.
That lone win in the sequence was at home against Harlequins in round eleven.
The last time that they scored a success on their travels was at Wasps back on December 5th.
So we don’t see the Falcons being too much of a threat to Leicester Tigers at Welford Road really.
Leicester are going too well at Welford Road to look at risk of losing this one.
Another compounding factor is that we have seen Newcastle Falcons conceded more than 30 points in two of their last three league games.
Leicester Tigers vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Advice
Leicester rightly look the favourites in this one. We are going straight for the Leicester -7 handicap line at 10/11 odds* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021)
That looks totally approachable as a rugby betting proposition.
We can easily see the Tigers, who have performed well at Welford Road this season, getting that covered.
Key Facts – Leicester Tigers vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Tip
- Leicester Tigers have only lost once at home since December (all competitions
- Leicester Tigers have lost to Newcastle once in the last five years
- Newcastle Falcons have lost their last three league games
Newcastle just are not a major attacking threat and with confidence low being on a losing streak, e see them falling.
We have no prior meeting this season to go on, so we are going to swing for a comfortable home success.
A Leicester 8-14 winning margin is our play at 13/5 odds on Premiership Rugby betting* (odds recorded 19:28 GMT on March 25th, 2021).
The best betting odds for Leicester Tigers vs Newcastle Falcons
Leicester Tigers to win: 1/3 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Newcastle Falcons to win: 13/5 at Bet365
