Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints
17th May 1930hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Northampton -4 handicap
Bookmaker Betfred
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 23:30 GMT on 13th May, 2021
Newcastle produced a fantastic second-half performance at home against London Irish last weekend to pick up what has become a rare league win.
Will they be able to build on that this weekend as they stay at Kingston Park for the visit of Northampton Saints?
The Saints are more than capable of landing the road win. They will be looking to dust themselves off after a horror show at home against Gloucester last weekend.
Table of Contents
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can Falcons make it back to back wins?
Newcastle produced some fantastic attacking rugby to secure a 52-27 win over London Irish last weekend.
They badly needed that as well as they had been on a three-match losing streak in all competitions before it.
In the Premiership Newcastle Falcons had been on a six-match losing streak of form.
Their 52 point-haul last weekend was their biggest haul of points in a single match in 15 years.
In the match outright for Monday night’s home game, Newcastle are 11/8 underdogs for the win* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
The first scheduled fixture between the Falcons and Saints this season was cancelled. Newcastle were awarded the win.
The home form of Newcastle this season is W4 L4 from their completed matches.
Two of their four home wins have been by double-figure margins.
Of the defeats that they have suffered two were by a margin of at least 17 points.
Newcastle Falcons have lost six of their last eight home games against Northampton.
So the head to head is going against them firmly.
Newcastle have had a tough time of things throughout the second half of the Premiership rugby season.
They were left second from the bottom after Round 18.
Only bottom side Worcester Warriors have scored fewer points in the top flight than the Falcons.
A Newcastle +4 handicap is at a quote of 10/11 for rugby betting* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
Northampton Saints Preview – Can the Saints continue strong road form?
There was a shock defeat at home for Northampton last weekend as they went down against Gloucester.
The Saints had been strong odds-on favourites against the struggling Cherry & Whites.
The result was a massive blow to Northampton’s top-four ambitions.
With others above them winning, the Saints found themselves 9-points out of the top four at the end of Round 18.
There is a quote of 8/15 odds-on for Northampton Saints winning this fixture on Monday night* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
They do have positive away form behind them.
It is a three-match winning streak in road games that Northampton have recorded (all competitions).
The last time that they won four straight away games was in 2014.
The away record of Northampton this season reads W5 L3.
All three of the road losses for the Saints in this campaign happened against teams above them in the top four.
So they have handled themselves well enough against everyone else.
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The trend with Northampton Saints’ away wins have been by low margins.
Four of the five away wins that they have taken were earned by a margin of no more than five points.
The Northampton -4 handicap is running at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
That’s right on the line of that trend.
We would lean towards the fixture being a tight low-scoring one, as on their day Newcastle are stronger in defence than attack.
But with six wins in their last eight trips to Kingston Park, we think the Saints do come out on top.
Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints Betting Advice
We think a narrow win for the Saints will be forthcoming in this fixture on Monday night.
The Northampton Saints -4 handicap is just worth pushing for at that 10/11 quote in rugby betting* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
They will want to come up with a response after that shocker against Gloucester last weekend.
Key Facts – Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints Betting Tip
- Newcastle Falcons have lost 6 of their last 8 home games against Saints
- Newcastle Falcons have won one of their last seven Premiership fixtures
- Northampton Saints are on a three match winning streak on the road
The Falcons put on a burst of scoring form at home last weekend that was totally unexpected.
But that looks to be an anomaly and wouldn’t necessarily expect a repeat performance.
A Northampton 1-7 winning margin piques interest at 5/2* (odds recorded 23:30 GMT on 13th May 2021).
The best betting odds for Newcastle Falcons vs Northampton Saints
Newcastle Falcons to win: 11/8 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Northampton Saints to win: 8/15 at Bet365
