Northampton Saints vs Newcastle
13th February 1630hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Northampton -5 handicap
Bookmaker coral
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021
Northampton are a team on the up at the moment in the Premiership having won their last three on the spin.
Will they be able to make it four on the bounce as they host Newcastle?
The Falcons have started to lose some momentum after a bright start, now having lost three of their last four matches.
Table of Contents
Northampton Saints Preview – Can Saints make it four in a row?
The Saints are the favourites here at 4/9 odds-on for the weekend’s game against Newcastle* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
It has been a three-match winning streak that they have put together (excluding cancelled matches).
The wins were against Worcester, Gloucester and Wasps and the latter two were both out on the road.
With the cancelled fixture adjustments Northampton are W4 L4 this season in the Premiership.
They are the lowest-scoring team in the current top five with only a -1 points difference on the board.
So far on home soil this season the Saints have completed two fixtures.
From that, they lost against Harlequins and beat the struggling Worcester.
So it is a little hard to judge overall just where the Saints are at with form.
They have only claimed one home win at Franklin’s Gardens in any competition since January 2020, which was a victory over Worcester.
The last time that Northampton faced Newcastle was back in April 2019 and the Saints claimed a 31-17 victory.
Before that, the Saints had been on a six-match losing streak against the Falcons in the Premiership.
Just to extend the look at that a little deeper, Northampton Saints have lost their last three home fixtures against the Tynesiders in league action.
For rugby betting, a Saints 1-7 winning margin is at 5/2* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
Newcastle Preview – Can the Falcons get back on track?
The season has just gotten to be a bit of a grind for Newcastle who have lost three of their last four league fixtures.
It has been back to back losses against London Irish and Exeter for them.
Their only victory then in the last four rounds of the Premiership was a 22-10 home success against Gloucester back on January 9th.
In the match outright Newcastle are the 15/8 underdogs for this fixture* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
It has been back to back away defeats in the Premiership from the Falcons, which happened at Bristol and Irish.
The last time that they lost three on the road in the Premiership was about a year ago.
But as mentioned above, they have enjoyed trips to Franklin’s Gardens winning their last three trips there.
The Falcons are now at W5 L3 in their season including cancelled match adjustments.
They are only carrying a small +4 points difference.
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Newcastle, therefore, will be expected to keep this fairly tight and stay close to the Saints.
They don’t immediately look as if they are going to Franklins’ Gardens and get steamrolled on the weekend.
Because of their head to head form against Northampton, a decent rugby betting proposition for this game is the Newcastle +6 handicap at 10/11* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
The biggest margin of defeat that they have suffered this season was a -12 deficit against the powerful Bristol Bears.
Northampton Saints vs Newcastle Betting Advice
Two of the last three defeats for Newcastle in the league have been against Exeter and Bristol Bears, arguably the strongest sides in the division.
So that’s no disgrace, but perhaps the loss at London Irish was the biggest blow out of this current sequence.
We just can’t find enough to back them and isntead favour the Saints -5 handicap at 10/11 for the fixture* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
Key Facts – Northampton Saints vs Newcastle Betting Tip
- Northampton Saints are on a three-match league winning streak
- Northampton Saints have lost their last three home games against the Falcons in the league
- Newcastle have lost three of their last four Premiership games
We don’t think that Northampton are going to have opened a big gap at the final whistle between themselves and the Tynesiders at all.
There is a feeling that we need to go a little conservative on the margins in fact.
So a Northampton Saints 1-7 winning margin does the trick for us in rugby betting at 5/2* (odds taken 21:29 GMT, February 11th 2021).
The best betting odds for Northampton Saints vs Newcastle
Northampton Saints to win: 4/9 at Bet365
Draw: 20/1 at Bet365
Newcastle to win: 15/8 at Bet365
