Sevilla vs Espanyol
16th February 1700hrs
Football – Spain – La Liga
Pick Sevilla To Win To Nil
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 6/4 odds taken 21:50 GMT, Friday 14th February
Sevilla have on paper, a winnable-looking home fixture in top-flight action on Sunday. They are battling along to try and secure a top-four finish in La Liga and they won’t want to slip up on home soil against the bottom side in the league. There has, however, been a bit of recovery by Espanyol recently.
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Will Sevilla make light work of the bottom side?
Sevilla slipped to an away defeat at Celta Vigo last weekend. That left them sitting in fifth place in the league at the end of the last round of action. Their home form for the season reads W5 W4 L2 and they are running on a three-match unbeaten streak of home form. Sevilla have suffered one defeat in their last nine home league games (W5 D3).
They have been defensively sound on home turf in the top flight. Sevilla have conceded 9 goals only from their eleven home fixtures played. Home and away combined they are averaging only a goal against per league fixture. They have netted a clean sheet in 36% of their home games and in taking on the bottom side, that could raise the chances of a clean sheet win happening.
They currently hold the fifth-best defensive record in the division. A low scoring game would be the trend to follow. Only 18% of Sevilla’s home games this season have made it over 2.5 goals. Seven of the eleven wins that they have recorded (home and away) have been by a one-goal margin only.
They do have some great form going against Espanyol, do Sevilla. Sevilla have won 8 of their last 9 home games against them in all competitions. Julen Lopetegui’s side have been level at the halftime break in 7 of their 11 home games, which is a decent enough trend to consider.
Sevilla have netted 10 of their 14 home goals this season after the halftime break. They are also on a 9 match scoring streak on home soil in the league and home and away combined, have scored in each of their last 15.
Can improving Espanyol come up with three big away points?
Espanyol, who are from Barcelona, are sat at the bottom of the league, however the bottom three start the weekend all on 18 points, two from safety. So there is everything to play for still. Espanyol who lost against Sevilla earlier this season, have improved their form recently. They have played out a W2 D2 L1 record in their last five league games.
One of those draws was against Barcelona. The overall away record of Espanyol this season is W3 D2 L6, which considering they have won only one home game this season, is notable.
Espanyol though have only averaged 0.7 goals per away game, failing to score in a sizable 45% of their away games. Ten of their thirteen league defeats which have come their way this season (home and away combined) have been by at least a two-goal margin.
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Espanyol have conceded more goals in this season’s La Liga than any other team. They also start the next weekend faction as the second joint-lowest scoring team. Espanyol have suffered a loss in all but one of their last six away games in the league.
On top of that too, they have shipped at least two goals in 5 of their last six as well. That is really where it all falls down for them and this could easily be another difficulty away day for them.
Sevilla vs Espanyol Betting Advice
It is hard to look past the home win cropping up in this one. The away defeats have really stacked up for Espanyol recently and even though they have shown a bit more fight and form recently, this is an away game against a top-five side. They should come up short.
Key Facts – Sevilla vs Espanyol Betting Tip
- Sevilla have won 8 of their last 9 home fixtures against Espanyol
- Sevilla took a 2-0 away win at Espanyol earlier this season
- Espanyol have won one of their last six away games
With a clean sheet in nearly half of their home games played this season, Sevilla are likely to get the job done with a clean sheet in tow. Given that the bulk of Sevilla’s home games in the league have been low-scoring affairs, a 1-goal margin win for Sevilla looks about right.
The best betting odds for Sevilla vs Espanyol
Sevilla to win: 4/7 at Bet365
Draw: 14/5 at Bet365
Espanyol: 11/2 at Bet365
