Sevilla Vs Real Madrid Betting Tip: Sevilla or Draw/Under 3.5 – 17 April 2022

Hosts could have too much energy for La Liga champions-elect?

Jesus Navas / Sevilla ©IMAGO / Shutterstock 08.04.2022

Spain Sevilla Vs Real Madrid Spain

Sunday 17 April, 2022 – 20:00 (BST)
Spanish La Liga
Pick: Sevilla or Draw & Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 5/6
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 15 April 2022)

Preview: A potentially weary Real Madrid, following their epic 120-minute slog in Madrid on Tuesday in the Champions League, head to Seville on Matchday 32 for what promises to be another attritional affair inside Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan versus Julen Lopetegui’s Sevilla.

Spanish La Liga Betting at Betfair

 

Sevilla – Fresh legs can make all the difference?

April shorn of European commitments must feel an alien concept for Sevilla, for whom the Europa League Round of 16 was as far as they went this season. However, this should benefit them during the La Liga run-in. With fewer midweek excursions, a team which had shown signs of weariness throughout the campaign can attack the final seven fixtures fresher for it. Beginning with Sunday’s visit of leaders Real Madrid.

Finishing in the top four, thus ensuring Champions League football next season, has always been the primary objective for Julen Lopetegui. It’s why last Friday’s 4-2 win over Granada felt significant, as the gap back to Real Betis in fifth had shortened on the back of two wins in ten preceding La Liga fixtures (D7 L1). However, that is now three wins from the last four as hosts, having yet to lose here all season (W11 D4).

Key Stat: Last week, Granada became only the fourth visiting team this season (joining Alaves, Celta Vigo and Levante) to score more than one goal against Sevilla in La Liga.

 

Sevilla Win To Nil
7/2

Betfair

 

Real Madrid – Ancelotti left assessing his weary ranks?

Although the emergence of Barcelona as a credible force once more won’t have gone unnoticed, a 12-point buffer back to the Catalans in second place should more than suffice for Real Madrid as they close in on a record-extending 35th league title. It is a handsome lead and one that will come in handy as Carlo Ancelotti seeks to manage a squad bidding for a La Liga/Champions League double.

Real have lost three league games all season and are unbeaten on the road since January, winning the last three outside of Madrid. However they could be particularly vulnerable this weekend following their heavy exertions in the second leg of their Champions League tie against Chelsea, which went to extra-time. Therefore, with the league surely a formality, personnel changes seem in the offing in Seville.

Key Stat: Real Madrid haven’t conceded more than one goal across ten previous La Liga away matches (W8 D1 L1), with Espanyol and Levante the only hosts to have breached the Los Blancos backline on more than one occasion in 2021-22.

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Sevilla Vs Real Madrid Betting Advice

Although wholesale changes are likely off the table, it would still come as a surprise were there not to be at least a few notable omissions from Real Madrid’s line up at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. Several players were reportedly struggling towards the end of Tuesday’s absorbing contest, and with such a handsome advantage atop La Liga, Ancelotti may wish to hold some players back for bigger battles ahead.

 

Sevilla Vs Real Madrid – Key Facts:

  • Not since September 2018, in a 3-0 victory here at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, has Sevilla defeated Real Madrid in La Liga. The latter came out on top in five of six subsequent meetings, including the last twice as the away side (1-0 in 2019-20 & 2020-21).
  • Sevilla will be feeling bullish about their prospects on this occasion, however, not least because they boast one of only two unbeaten home records (W11 D4) in La Liga this season (the other belonging to Real Madrid).
  • Still, separating the pair isn’t a straightforward task. Whereas Sevilla boast wins in three of their past four home La Liga fixtures (D1), Real Madrid have claimed 18 of the last 21 points available (W6 L1).

 

Regardless of how Spain’s runaway leaders line up, this was always going to be a challenging assignment. Julen Lopetegui’s men are a mean proposition here, going unbeaten across all 15 home La Liga games this term while conceding only 13. Moreover then, with Real also running a tight ship defensively (not conceded more than once in an away league game since October), we can probably expect a low-scoring affair.

Best Betting Odds – Sevilla Vs Real Madrid

Sevilla – 2/1 (BetFred)
Draw – 12/5 (Bet365)
Real Madrid – 6/4 (Coral)