Half-Time Winners

Cyril's Betting Advice
Cyril's Betting Advice

Something struck me as a little bit amazing. When the home side leads at the interval it can lead to some amazing scores. I’ve seen Liverpool lead 5 – 0 at the interval and only win 5 – 1. At other times a 1 – 0 interval lead can end up 5 or 6 to nil. Now when the AWAY side leads at the interval there aren’t many such goal feasts. May be it’s because the home side has to tighten it’s ranks to safe some face. Or perhaps the home manager makes some very clever substitutions.
i’ve looked at the past two seasons in the PREMIERSHIP. and the final results of games which are 0 – 1 at half time give some food for thought.Surprisingly only around 50 games throughout the season are 0 – 1 at half-time. but each season’s returns are very similar.

SEASON 2014/15

The first half of the season had 21 such games. Of these there were no home wins. !9 away wins and 2 draws. In 7 of these games there were no further goals. In a further 7 games the home side scored once. In the second half the home sides scored total of 5 goals and the away sides scored 7 times.
The full breakdown of the final scores were

final result how often
0-1 7
0-2 5
0-3 1
1-1 1
1-2 4
1-3 2
2-2 1

The second half of the season had in total 29 games with the 0 – 1 half-time scoreline. The outstanding feature being that THREE home sides turned the tables in the second half. This time there were 3 homes wins, 6 draws and 20 away wins. The scores breakdown was

final result how often
0-1 8
0-2 4
0-3 1
1-1 5
1-2 5
1-3 2
2-1 3
2-2 1

The totals for the whole season makes somewhat interesting reading.
3 HOME WINS (6%) — 8 DRAWS (16%) — 39 AWAYS (78%)

TOTAL GOALS PER GAME

Goals No of Games (%)
1 Goal 15 Games (30%)
2 Goals 15 Games (30%)
3 Goals 14 Games (28%)
4 Goals 6 Games (12 %)

SEASON 2015/16

The split for this season was 23 games were 0 – 1 at half-time in the first half of the season. The second half turned up 25 such games. The first half returned 2 homes, 15 away wins and 6 drawn games. The scores breakdown was as follows

final result how often
0-1 7
0-2 2
0-3 1
1-1 5
1-2 4
1-3 1
2-1 1
2-2 1
3-1 1

The second half of the season was a little more productive, just, with 25 such results. This time there were 4 home wins, 16 aways and 5 draws. Scoring breakdown was

final result how often
0-1 6
0-2 1
0-3 3
0-4 1
1-1 3
1-2 2
1-3 3
2-1 4
2-2 2

The season’s returns are
6 HOME WINS (%) — 11 DRAWS () — 31 AWAYS (%)

TOTAL GOALS PER GAME

Goals No of Games (%)
1 Goal 13 Games (27%)
2 Goals 11 Games (23%)
3 Goals 15 Games (31%)
4 Goals 8 Games (17%)
5 Goals 1 Game (2%)

Theae two season’s figures give figures which are fairly similar. Over the two seasons there werejust short of 100 games in which the visitors lead by 1 – 0 at half-time.

Final Result (%)
9 ended as HOME WINS (9%)
19 ended as DRAWS (19%)
70 ended as AWAY WINS (71%)

What do these figures really tell us? Well, we can expect to have 9 out of every 10 matches to end as either a draw or an away win. We can expect 4 out of 5 games to end with 3 goals or less. Also 1 game out of 2 to have 2 goals or less. For the more adventurous amongst us DUTCHING 0 – 1, 1 – 1 and 0 – 2 can give a chance of a nice profit, with correct staking.

Be Lucky!


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