A Different angle on Stats – Cyril’s betting advice (part 9)

Football Leagues and Stats
I am going to look at odds and percentages and hopefully give you some pointers to a surprise or two.

I’m looking at the odds offered on Home teams, the probability that the odds will be landed, within the probability range, (as a percentage) and the actual successful percentages.

I’ll also point to a few unusual, (unexpected), figures. (ATT).

A Different angle on Stats

ODDS RANGE PROBABILITY ODDS PERCENTAGE ACTUAL
Premier League      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 82% Within expected Range (WER)
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 77% Better than expected range (BTER)
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 64% Better than expected range (BTER)
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 56% Better than expected range (BTER)
       
3.26---3.50 25.7%---27.6& 53% AGAINST THE TIDE (ATT)
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
CHAMPIONSHIP      
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 67% WER
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 52% WER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 55% BTER
       
3.51---3.75 24%---25.6% 57% ATT
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
SPANISH PRIMERA      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 93% WER
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 68% WER
1.26---1.50 51.4%---59.9% 59% WER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 49% WER
       
3.51---3.75 24%---25.6% 53% ATT
       
6.01---7.00 12.8---14.9% 50% ATT
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
ITALY SERIE "A"      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 88% WER
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 81% BTER
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 60% BTER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 51% WER
       
3.26---3.50 25.7%---27.6% 46% ATT
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
SCOTTSH PREMIER.      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 84% WER
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 84% WER
1.51---1,75 51.4%---59.9% 64% BTER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 53% BTER
2.01---2.25 40%---44.9% 47% BTER
       
3.25---3.50 25.7%---27.6% 44% ATT
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 1      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 68% BELOW EXPECTED RANGE
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 78% BTER
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 53% WER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 46% WER
       
2.26---2.50 36%---39.9% 45% BTER
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
FRENCH DIVISION 1.      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 83% WER
1.26---1.50 60%---71.9% 70% WER
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 53% WER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 50% WER
       
2.01---2.25 40%---44.% 45% ATT
---------------------- ---------------------- --------------------- -------------------------------
HOLLAND EREDIVISION      
1.00---1.25 72%---100% 87% WER
1.25---1.50 60%---71.9% 67% WER
1.51---1.75 51.4%---59.9% 61% BTER
1.76---2.00 45%---51.3% 59% BTER
       
2.01---2.25 40%---44.9% 48% ATT

Actual Percentages have been rounded up/ down to the nearest whole number. Therefore each figure will be accurate to within .5 of a point. I am hopeful that you’ll be able to use these figures alongside your own method of selection.

Cyril  

 

 


Visit Bet365