I am going to look at odds and percentages and hopefully give you some pointers to a surprise or two.
I’m looking at the odds offered on Home teams, the probability that the odds will be landed, within the probability range, (as a percentage) and the actual successful percentages.
I’ll also point to a few unusual, (unexpected), figures. (ATT).
A Different angle on Stats
| ODDS RANGE | PROBABILITY | ODDS PERCENTAGE | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 82% | Within expected Range (WER) |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 77% | Better than expected range (BTER) |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 64% | Better than expected range (BTER) |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 56% | Better than expected range (BTER) |
| 3.26---3.50 | 25.7%---27.6& | 53% | AGAINST THE TIDE (ATT) |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| CHAMPIONSHIP | |||
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 67% | WER |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 52% | WER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 55% | BTER |
| 3.51---3.75 | 24%---25.6% | 57% | ATT |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| SPANISH PRIMERA | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 93% | WER |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 68% | WER |
| 1.26---1.50 | 51.4%---59.9% | 59% | WER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 49% | WER |
| 3.51---3.75 | 24%---25.6% | 53% | ATT |
| 6.01---7.00 | 12.8---14.9% | 50% | ATT |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| ITALY SERIE "A" | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 88% | WER |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 81% | BTER |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 60% | BTER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 51% | WER |
| 3.26---3.50 | 25.7%---27.6% | 46% | ATT |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| SCOTTSH PREMIER. | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 84% | WER |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 84% | WER |
| 1.51---1,75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 64% | BTER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 53% | BTER |
| 2.01---2.25 | 40%---44.9% | 47% | BTER |
| 3.25---3.50 | 25.7%---27.6% | 44% | ATT |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 1 | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 68% | BELOW EXPECTED RANGE |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 78% | BTER |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 53% | WER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 46% | WER |
| 2.26---2.50 | 36%---39.9% | 45% | BTER |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| FRENCH DIVISION 1. | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 83% | WER |
| 1.26---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 70% | WER |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 53% | WER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 50% | WER |
| 2.01---2.25 | 40%---44.% | 45% | ATT |
| ---------------------- | ---------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| HOLLAND EREDIVISION | |||
| 1.00---1.25 | 72%---100% | 87% | WER |
| 1.25---1.50 | 60%---71.9% | 67% | WER |
| 1.51---1.75 | 51.4%---59.9% | 61% | BTER |
| 1.76---2.00 | 45%---51.3% | 59% | BTER |
| 2.01---2.25 | 40%---44.9% | 48% | ATT |
Actual Percentages have been rounded up/ down to the nearest whole number. Therefore each figure will be accurate to within .5 of a point. I am hopeful that you’ll be able to use these figures alongside your own method of selection.
Cyril
