Bodo/Glimt Vs Dinamo Zagreb
Bodo/Glimt Vs Dinamo Zagreb Tuesday, 16 August 2022 – 20:00 (BST)
UEFA Champions League Qualification
Pick: Bodo/Glimt WIN
Odds: 7/5
Bookmaker: Unibet
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 14 August 2022)
Preview: Four previous visits to Norway failed to yield a single win, so the omens are far from encouraging ahead of Dinamo Zagreb‘s latest visit. That only becomes more apparent after a quick glance at the imperious home record boasted by Tuesday’s hosts, Bodo/Glimt, who will know the importance of gaining the upper hand in the first leg.
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Table of Contents
Bodo/Glimt – Norwegians should have too much in Bodo?
Back-to-back Norwegian Eliteserien champions in 2020 and 2021, can Bodo/Glimt continue their ascent to prominence by becoming only the third team from Norway – after Rosenborg and Molde – to qualify for the Champions League proper? Their prospects are enhanced by an exceptional home record, winning their last 12 such matches by a combined score of 39-4.
Kjetil Knutsen and his team have especially enjoyed turning out at their Aspmyra Stadion this term. Whether that be domestically – 29 in 9 games (3.22 per game) – or in Europe – 16 in 3 games (5.3 per game – Bodo/Glimt encountered scant resistance this season when it comes to plundering goals in front of their fans. Easily dispensing with Ki Klaksvik (3-0), Linfield 8-0) and Zalgiris (5-0) as hosts in the earlier rounds.
Key Stat: Across their current 12-game winning home run in European competition, Bodo/Glimt would never concede more than once (only four goals conceded in total) and were victors by a 2+ margin on nine occasions.
Dinamo Zagreb – Keeping first leg tight key to progression?
Whatever Bodo/Glimt can do, we do it better? That could easily be the mantra of Dinamo Zagreb, whose capture of the Prva HNL last season made it five consecutive Croatian league titles, ahead of their first foray to Norway since a 1-1 draw at this same stage to Rosenborg in 2019. They would certainly settle for a repeat outcome, meanwhile, progressing 2-1 on aggregate after completing the job in Zagreb.
That will be the objective on Tuesday: ensuring the task in Zagreb next week isn’t overly taxing. Because anything larger than a one-goal deficit would significantly narrow their odds about a first group stage appearance in the competition since 2019-20. Since the start of last season, Dinamo Zagreb have collected seven away wins out of ten (L3); however, of these only two came via a margin greater than a solitary goal.
Key Stat: The Croatian side won three out of four matches on route to this stage, eliminating North Macedonian’s KF Shkupi – who would earn a shock 2-2 draw in Zagreb – and Bulgaria’s Ludogorets Razgrad.
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Bodo/Glimt Vs Dinamo Zagreb Betting Advice
It is difficult to find fault in the Match Odds pricing, which has Bodo/Glimt at a generous-looking 7/5 for this first leg. That price is not to be sniffed at. The Norwegians are on a run of 12 consecutive home victories in Europe. While some of these came in qualifying rounds against modest opposition, the scalps of AZ Alkmaar, Celtic and, in particular, AS Roma (who they beat twice) give the record more clout.
Bodo/Glimt Vs Dinamo Zagreb – Key Facts:
- The clubs are meeting for the first time. Although Dinamo Zagreb are winless across all four visits to Norway, drawing 1-1 in all three subsequent games following a 2-1 loss to Brann, back in 2007, in the very first of those encounters.
- Dinamo Zagreb will be confident of a positive result on this occasion based solely off their recent exploits away from home in Europe. Croatia’s 23-time league winners are W7 L3 in their past ten European away matches, scoring in 10 of the last 11.
- That confidence is tempered, however, by the sight of Bodo/Glimt’s 12-game strong winning home run in UEFA competition. Their record as hosts when playing in Europe this season reads W3-D0-L0, GF16 GA0.
Dinamo Zagreb possess a creditable record of their own, though, winning seven of ten previous away matches in Europe. Only one of those successes, however, came against a team that matches up to Bodo/Glimt. Even that – a 1-0 win away to West Ham – came against opponents with nothing to play for at the time. They will go down swinging either way having netted in 10 of their 11 previous European away outings.
Best Betting Odds – Bodo/Glimt Vs Dinamo Zagreb
Bodo/Glimt – 7/5 (Unibet)
Draw – 12/5 (WilliamHill)
Dinamo Zagreb – 85/40 (BetVictor)
