ATP Paris Tennis Winner Odds & Predictions

Djokovic to secure title and World Number One spot

Tennis Betting

The Rolex Masters in Paris is underway and in the French capital, there is a big battle for the world number one spot going down between Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic. It is a simple case of whichever of them progress further, will get the top ATP Ranking. This is the final ATP World Tour Masters 1000 event of the season.

ATP Paris Masters Winners odds*

Novak Djokovic 10/11
Rafa Nadal 6/1
Roger Federer 8/1
Alexander Zverev 11/1
Kei Nishikori 16/1
Dominic Thiem 22/1
Karen Khachanov 22/1
Marin Cilic 25/1
Kevin Anderson 25/1
John Isner 25/1
Borna Coric 33/1
40/1 bar
* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 4:19 pm)

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Novak Djokovic

Without question, it is Novak Djokovic who is the one with the form heading into the Paris action. He has won each of the last three tournaments that he has entered (Cincinnati, US Open and the Rolex Shanghai Masters). So there is little question over his 10/11 odds-on favouritism at the head of the market* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 4:19 pm). None whatsoever. His record in Paris isn’t bad either having won the title four times before, most recently back in 2015 when he beat Andy Murray in the final. He is the second seed so means that he could only meet rival Nadal in the final.

Rafa Nadal

Nadal is back for the first time since having to pull out of the US Open semi-finals because of a knee injury. He realistically only holds a 35 point lead over Djokovic in the ATP Rankings which is basically nothing. The Spaniard has been top of the ranking since June but now the pressure is on here in the 52nd week of the yearly cycle that the ATP Rankings run on. Whichever of these goes at least one round better than the other this week will be top. The actually final ATP Rankings for the year will be decided at the ATP Finals held in London on November 11th-18th where there are 1,500 points up for grabs for a player who can win the title without defeat along the way in the round robin stage. Nadal has never won the Rolex Paris Masters. It could be a big ask for him to do so after his injury-forced break.

Roger Federer

Federer is down in the bottom half of the draw in opposition to Djokovic. There is not a particularly easy path ahead for Federer really. For example, if he were to get to the quarter finals then there could be either Kevin Anderson or Kei Nishikori there, the latter looking for respective big performance because he needs points to try and earn their places at the ATP Finals. Federer does have a bit of form behind him though having won the Swiss Indoors title for the ninth time recently. He only made a run to the semi-finals in the most recent ATP 1000 Masters in Shanghai. His only previous title in Paris happened back in 2011 when he beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Because he is on a semi-final path to meet Djokovic, that puts him at the disadvantage and is risky at 8/1 odds* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 4:19 pm).

Other Contenders

There is fourth seed Alexander Zverev with three career ATP World Tour Masters 1000 titles under his belt. He would meet Nadal in the semi finals and isn’t a bad 22/1 each way option to win outright* (betting odds taken on October 30th, 2018 at 4:19 pm) by any stretch of the imagination.

There are only two places up for grabs in the ATP Finals and while it looks likely that they will go to Marin Cilic and Dominic Thiem (both of which are in action this week) their places aren’t secured. Kei Nishikori and John Isner are the ones in the draw with that big incentive of a deep run to try and muscle their way in. Because of that, they are worth having a look at to raise their respective games this week.


We have to stick with the front runners and look at that battle for number one between Djokovic and Nadal. Our prediction for the ATP Paris Masters is Djokovic clear and simple. He has the current form behind him and four of his indoor titles has been at this very event. Considering that Nadal is going to be a bit rusty and that the Spaniard has only one indoor title to his name in his entire career, paints a clear picture. Of the outside contenders, it has to be Zverev considering he is the main opposition to Nadal in the top half of the draw.

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