ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Betting Odds: The ATP Finals start today in London, which hosts the event for the final time before it moves on to Turin from next year.
This is the end of season event, a prestigious affair that players strive and work so hard all season to reach.
2020 has, of course, been a little different, with so little tennis having been played in comparison to a normal year.
So there’s not quite so much form to look at over the year, but still, for ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Betting odds, we have a fascinating lineup.
Rafael Nadal will be looking to win the tournament for the first time, Novak Djokovic is the outright favourite, but youngsters Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev, along with 2020 US Open champion Dominic Thiem are expected to have a big say.
ATP World Tour Finals Winner Odds
Novak Djokovic 6/4
Rafael Nadal 4/1
Daniil Medvedev 5/1
Dominic Thiem 15/2
Alexander Zverev 7/1
Andrey Rubliev 10/1
Stefanos Tsispitas 11/1
Diego Schwartzman 25/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020)
Table of Contents
ATP World Tour Finals Format
Everything stays the same. There are 8 players taking part in the competition, with the players being split over two groups.
The top two from each of the round-robin groups go forward to a semi-final knockout. The winner of one group plays the runner up of the other.
The event in London is being played behind closed doors.
The group matches will be played from today (Sunday) through to Friday. Then things move forward to Finals weekend.
The semi-final matches are on November 21st and the Final on 22nd November.
Group Tokyo – ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Betting Odds
Novak Djokovici 4/6
Daniil Medveved 11/4
Alexander Zverev 4/1
Diego Schwartzman 11/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020)
There is the clear front runner here of Novak Djokovic who is at 4/6 to win this group* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020).
In last year’s ATP Tour Finals, Djokovic lost to both Dominic Thiem and Roger Federer in the round-robin, bowing out early.
That was a shock result, to say the least. He has been superb since the season restarted. We expect him to win the group.
Alexander Zverev made the semi fails last season where he was stopped by Thiem. It was a victory over both Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev that just got Zverev though.
But we fancy the tables being turned this season with Medvedev being potentially sharper.
He didn’t win a Round Robin match on his Finals debut in 2019. That came at the end of a long and much improved season from the Russian. This time Medvedev is fresher and is bang in form as he just won the ATP Paris Masters, notably against Zverev.
This is a debut in the Finals for Diego Schwartzman after reaching the top ten in the world for the first time. His big moment came in reaching his first-ever Grand Slam semi-final at this year’s French Open. This is a tough ask for Schwartzman.
Prediction: Djokovic and Medvedev to qualify
Group London
Rafeal Nadal 11/8
Dominc Thiem 9/4
Andrey Rublev 11/4
Stefanos Tsisptias 6/1
* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020)
Tennis Betting at Bet365
We think this is a bit of a weaker group and we would happily take on the favourite Rafael Nadal in it. Nadal has never won the ATP Finals and last year he didn’t get out of the group stage. The indoor courts have never really been his scene.
So we are going to go with Dominic Thiem to take top spot in Group London in ATP World Tour Finals tennis betting at 9/4* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020).
Thiem was last year’s runner up and we see him getting the better of both Rublev and Tsitsipas. It was against Tsitsipas that Thiem lost last year’s final. The Greek star got that title last year on his event debut.
A leg injury at the Paris Masters last week could hamper his chances in London, so we are passing on the Greek star. As for Rublev, the Russian had a big breakthrough year. But still, on his debut, it may take something special to get out of the group.
Prediction: Thiem and Nadal
ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Betting Odds – Outright Winner
Novak Djokovic 6/4
There is a bit of joint-history making for Novak Djokovic at the end of this event. The world number one would take his sixth ATP Tour Finals title this year, matching Roger Federer’s record.
It has been a stellar campaign once again from Djokovic who has suffered only three defeats in 42 singles matches in the calendar year.
It was just the one Grand Slam title for Djokovic this season, collecting the crown at the Australian Open.
He lost in the final of the French Open to Nadal, before getting disqualified from the US Open for striking a ball that hit a line judge.
As the 4/6 favourite to win Group Tokyo, he’s the one to beat and he’s the tournament outright favourite* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020).
Djokovic won the ATP Tour Finals four consecutive years from 2012 through 2015. Despite being to the final twice since then, he hasn’t managed to add to that title.
He lost in the round-robin stage of last year’s edition.
We don’t see that happening here. He is the one to beat and he holds a positive head to head record over six of the other seven competitors in this field (he’s never played Rublev).
Rafael Nadal 4/1
Do we see Rafael Nadal getting that elusive win? He is still one of the greatest players in the game, but we are going to take a pass on him.
We don’t think the value on him for an indoor event like this is particularly worthwhile looking at.
Nadal impressively won the French Open this year again, having come in cold with no clay court season behind him. That was his only title anywhere in 2020 on the Tour, while Djokovic was racking up titles left, right and centre.
Nadal has bowed out of the ATP Finals in the round-robin stage on his last two appearances and so we can’t justifiably find a solid enough reason to back him in tennis betting here, not with having to likely go through Djokovic at some point in the knockouts.
Dominic Thiem 15/2
We think Dominic Thiem is a bigger threat in this field than Nadal is. The ATP World Tour Finals tennis betting odds on the Austrian has him at 15/2* (betting odds taken from bet365 at 06:14 GMT on Sunday, 15th November 2020).
That’s a reasonable enough quote to consider. Thiem finally was the one to end the dominance of the big four in Grand Slam events this year. That happened with Thiem collecting the US Open crown this year.
Thiem followed that up with a solid run to the quarterfinals of the French Open before hitting the final eight at the Vienna Open at the end of October.
He produced some good stuff in London at the end of last season and we would expect him to go well again.
Daniil Medvedev 5/1
Can the Russian improve on last year’s ATP Finals appearance? Probably. He found the going tough on his event debut, not winning a match.
But 2019 was a big breakthrough year for the Russian and he looked tired at the end of it and nowhere near his best.
This has been a shorter campaign and he has made a lot of positive strides against his year. There was a semi-final place taken at the US Open (lost to Thiem), followed by a big return to form earlier this month.
Medvedev swept his way to the Paris Masters title, beating Alexander Zverev in the final having dropped the opening set.
The Russian had also beaten Diego Schwartzman along the way. The confidence from that recent title win should do wonders for Medvedev in London and we think he’s well worth consideration.
The Rest Of The Players
Diego Schwartzman had a career-best year with that semi-final at the French Open. He has actually been very solid all season has the Argentine. This is a very high-class small field and we don’t see Schwartzman battling his way through the round-robin.
There are question marks over the fitness of reigning champions Stefanos Tsitsipas which is a shame. He is still missing that breakthrough Grand Slam title. But he went close at Roland Garros this year, losing in the semis to Djokovic.
The two tournaments that the Greek star has played since then have both ended in disappointing early exits. The timing may not be right for him to defend.
Andrey Rublev is the dark horse in the field for tennis betting. No player won more matches in 2020 that the Russian did. He also took an ATP Tour-leading five titles during 2020.
So this has been a huge season for Rublev as he has broken the top ten. The question mark over his chances is that he has not one positive head to head record against anyone else in the field.
Alexander Zeverev only has a positive head to head against Medvedev and Rublev in his field. He should have been buoyed by a return to form in racing the Paris Masters finals, having beaten Nadal in the semi-finals.
But off the court troubles may not see him arrive in the most focused frame of mind.
