Correct Scores Singles – Cyril’s betting advice (part 8)

Betting on Goals
This (correct scores betting) is much more demanding than multiples.

Obviously you need more winning singles bets than doubles or trebles. Also you need them more regularly. So finding the scores with which to use becomes more important.

Using singles might also mean spreading your net further afield. Some leagues have really outstanding percentages for certain scores or combinations of scores. In the Italian Serie "A" 1-0 1-1 2-0 and 2-1 occur in almost 55% of their games.
The thing now is finding the best combinations, or singles, and how to use them.
Finding them will be helped by looking for games where the teams look evenly matched but where the home side has a decided advantage, based on Head 2 Head.

Steer clear of teams that have the "hit and miss" kind of scoring record the kind of thing I look for is Chelsea v Liverpool or vice-versa where it’s almost certain that one goal will sway the game.

A point I like to make is that you must watch for new trends. Last season the English League 2 suddenly began to have a much larger than normal number of away wins. This would for me be fatal, as I always plump for home wins, when looking at Correct Score possibilities.

One point about the attached percentages. In the early part of the season as few as two scores can make a big difference to the percentage tables. Whereas, as the season progresses it will take maybe 4 or even 5 scores to upset the figures.

It does help if you can up-date the tables for whichever league or leagues you choose to work with.
For anyone whose maths may be a little rusty this is an example of how to find a percentage for any particular score.
Find the number of the score you’re working with, then divide it by the number of games played in that league so far. Finally multiply the answer by 100.
E.G. Score 1-1 has been recorded 11 times in the league so far. Altogether there have been 160 games played in that league. So 11 divided by 160 multiplied by 100 is the amswer. 11/160=0.06875 x 100 = 6.875. As it is not necessary to work to more tham one decimal point, this would be rounded-up to 6.9. Obviously this is easily achieved by using a calculator.

This is just a small selection of the top leagues to give you an idea of how scores fall.

Correct Scores Singles

  0-0 1-0 1-1 0-1 2-0 2-1 2-2 1-2 0-2
Premiership 6.4 8.3 9.2 7.3 9.2 13.8 3.7 8.3 3.7
Championship 10.0 10.0 13.3 7.2 10.6 10.6 4.4 7.2 3.9
Sp. Primera 8.8 10.0 11.1 11.1 6.7 7.8 3.3 7.8 4.4
Serie "A" 7.1 18.2 13.1 6.1 12.1 11.1 2.0 5.1 2.0
G. Bundesliga 3.0 9.1 12.1 6.1 7.1 6.1 7.1 5.1 6.1

Correct Scores Singles

  3-0 3-1 3-2 3-3 2-3 1-3 0-3
Premiership 2.8 3.7 ---- 2.8 2.8 3.7 11.0
Championship 3.3 1.7 ---- 1.1 3.3 2.2 8.3
Sp. Primera 1.1 3.3 ---- ---- 1.1 2.2 17.8
Serie "A" 5.1 1.0 ---- 1.0 3.0 1.0 5.1
G. Bundesliga 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 14.1

The first line is the scores. The figures to the right of each league is the percentage that each score occurs, so far this season. Figures after the 0-3 results are the percentage of all other scores.

I hope this will be of help the Correct Scores punters.

Cyril 


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