Half Time / Full Time – Football Betting Strategy (part 2)

Betting on Goals

MORE HALF-TIME/FULL-TIME STUFF.

Having looked at one aspect of the Half-Time/Full-Time results I now intend to delve even further.
I am amazed at some of the outcomes I turned-up. In an ordinary season, how many games have the same result at FULL-TIME, as at HALF-TIME?  Remember, there are 380 games in the Premiership season. The answer, for last season, an amazing 241.

That’s a touch over 63%. Or three out of every five games played. So if you are trading a game you have a good reference point for use. The main pointer being that a team playing away and losing at half-time is very unlikely to turn the result around.
The best to be hoped for is a DRAW.

Knowing which teams have a good record or otherwise regarding their second half performances, especially when away, can mean an extra few pounds profit-wise if used in the correct manner.
There are many trading strategies that can be enhanced if you have some reliable stats based on the scores of either first half and/or in-play, during the second half. Even the most basic can profit from a tweak here and there. In fact any strategy will be enhanced with astute use of stats.

Basically the home side is the team to bet on. Unless you can come up with a solid reason not to do so. Then you should leave that match alone. Over a full season, Home teams will fail to win approximately 50 percent of their games. Obviously some teams will fare worse than others. So we need to have an idea of which teams to favour and which to assign to the dustbin.

Last season, Manchester United led at halfway in 16 of their 19 home games. Is there anything to say that they won’t do as well this season? Current situation is leading in 2 games and level in the other 2.

The table below shows how each team fared at half-time in their HOME games during the last three seasons. In no particular order.

              2010 / 11         2009 / 10         2008 / 09
           Win  Draw  Lose   Win  Draw  Lose   Win  Draw  Lose

Aston V     7     9     3     6    10     3     7     8     4

Man. Utd   16     3     0     9     6     4     9     8     2

Wolves      9     3     7     4     7     8     -     -     -

Everton     5     9     5     6    10     3     7     8     4

'Spurs      5    11     3    13     4     2     7     9     3

Sunderland  7     9     3    10     5     4     5     9     5

Blackburn   8     9     2     7     7     5     5     7     7

Bolton W    7     7     5     7     6     6     6     8     5

Liverpool   9     7     3    11     5     3     6    11     2

Stoke. C    6     8     5     7    12     0     5    10     4

Arsenal     6    10     3    11     5     3     8     9     2

Man. City  11     5     3    11     6     2    11     7     1

Newcastle   8     5     6     -     -     -     2    11     6

W.B.A.      5     8     6     -     -     -     3     8     8

Fulham      5     7     7     6     6     7    11     6     2

Wigan A     1    10     8     5    10     4     6     8     5

Chelsea     9     8     2    12     6     1    10     6     3

 

Looking at last season’s returns it would be hard to make out a case for backing Wigan to be in front at half-time.
Everton,’Spurs, (did European football tell on their league form?) W.B.A. and Fulham would also fall into that category.
Of course this is all a case of “after the horses have bolted”. Hindsight being a wonderful thing.

Current form shows that Bolton are a team to leave alone until they hit a decent vein of form. Still pointless at HOME.

There were some interesting Half-time stats in the AWAY figures.

Man Utd’s AWAY form, last season, was little better than MODERATE. It was their HOME FORM which gained them the Premiership Title last season.

Below, the AWAY stats, but in no particular order

              2010 / 11         2009 / 10         2008 / 09
           Win  Draw  Lose   Win  Draw  Lose   Win  Draw  Lose
  
Everton     4     7     8     7     5     6     4    13     2
      
Spurs       5     8     6     5     6     6     3    11     5

Sunderland  4    10     5     4     6     9     2    10     7

Arsenal    11     3     5     7     8     4     7     7     5

Man. City   8     8     3     5     8     6     9     7     3

Newcastle   4     8     7     -     -     -     1     8    10

Chelsea     5     8     6     9     6     4     9     8     2

W.B.A.      1     7    11     -     -     -     0     8    11

Fulham      5     5     9     3     7     9     1    15     3

Aston V     5     7     7     6     8     5     6     7     6

Man. Utd    4    10     5     6    10     3     9     7     3

Wolves      4     7     8     6     4     9     -     -     -

Blackburn   5    11     3     4     6     9     3     8     8

Bolton W.   2     9     8     6     3    10     4     7     8

Liverpool   5     7     7     1    14     4     9     8     2

Stoke C     0     8    11     2    10     7     3     4    12

Wigan A     4     9     6     3     6    10     6     6     7

 

These stats literally only tell half a story. However, dig deep and find out which teams go out for an early kill and which
sides hope to tire-out there opponents and then go in for the points.
Match-up a side who have a good home record but like to weigh-up the opposition before getting into top gear with one that
really suffers when playing away and you’re half-way to getting a good half-time/full-time betting proposition.

The beauty of HT/FT betting is that if things don’t go exactly to plan there is nearly always a chance to take some kind of “trade” which will at least lessen any potential loss or even give a small”green-up”.
Also when things are going your way it’s always possible to “lock-in” a profit with a little astute hedging, before the game has finished.
If this type of bet appeals to you why not trial it out on paper for a while? Practise with the odds on offer. Get used to
checking how the game is progressing. Above all try to watch the game in “real time”.
If you don’t have the right TV package to do this, open an account with a bookmaker who streams games for it’s clients. It’s
well worthwhile.


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