Tottenham v Ajax Predictions & Betting Odds – 30th April 2019

Spurs can edge first leg on home soil

Tottenham © GEPA pictures

Tottenham v Ajax Betting Tips – Champions League, 30th April 8.00pm

This could well be a very special tie. Spurs will be looking to make the most of home advantage in the first leg of this semi-final. However, Ajax have produced some phenomenal back to back away wins in this season’s tournament at Real Madrid and Juventus. Will the young Dutch team be able to pull out another away win and take control of this tie? Read our predictions for Tottenham v Ajax.

Tottenham v Ajax Betting Odds*

Tottenham 11/8
Ajax 15/8
Draw 12/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 28th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)

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Tottenham News and Form

An epic quarter-final tie against Manchester City produced one of the most dramatic nights of Champions League football that has been seen. Holding a 1-0 advantage from the first leg at home, Spurs lost at the Etihad but managed to hold out for an away goal success in the tie. So from a position of underdog in that tie, they move on to face Ajax in the final four. Tottenham have only ever been in one previous European Cup semi-final and that one ended in a 3-4 aggregate defeat against Benfica back in 1961/62.

So it has been a long wait for them to get back here. Tottenham are the only one of the last four teams standing in this season’s competition to never have been to a Champions League/European Cup final. Spurs have faced Dutch opposition this season already because they were lined up against PSV Eindhoven in the group stage. Spurs played out a 2-2 draw on the road and won 2-1 at home. Harry Kane got three of those four goals, but they are having to manage without him at the moment.

Tottenham are on a six-match undefeated streak of form against Dutch sides currently. They have lost just one of eight previous home games against Eredivisie teams, winning four of those. In two-legged contests against Dutch sides, Tottenham have a W3 L3 record. In this season’s round of sixteen, Tottenham’s home win over of Borussia Dortmund gave Spurs their first ever victory in a knockout stage fixture in the Champions League. They followed that up with another home win over Manchester City

So in total Spurs are on a four-match winning streak at home in Europe this season. They have actually won eight of their last 10 Champions League home fixtures, losing the other two. One of those losses was in their very first home game in this season’s group stage against Barcelona. Tottenham lost their first game in their new stadium on the weekend as they suffered a 1-0 loss against West Ham in the Premier League. That is just five wins in their last 13 matches (lost seven) for Spurs across all competitions now.

Tottenham v Ajax Head to Head

Their previous meeting was in the 1981/82 European Cup Winner Cup
Spurs won that previous tie 6-1 on aggregate
Ajax conceded three goals in both legs of that previous tie


Key-Facts – Tottenham v Ajax

  • Tottenham have won their last four European home games
  • Spurs have only ever lost one home fixture against Dutch opposition
  • Ajax have lost only one of 16 European games this season


Ajax News and Form

It has been some journey for Ajax in this season’s Champions League. Most notably because they had come through the qualification rounds to get this far. Along the way, they have knocked out the current holders RealMadrid and followed that up by sending Juventus packing as well. Ajax got the win in those two ties by recording impressive second leg away victories. So they are likely to pose a threat in London on Tuesday. In the group stage of this season’s Champions League, they were up against Bayern Munich and took four points off the Germans too.

Ajax have a W6 L2 record from previous European Cup semi-finals and one of those two losses was against an English side. That was in 1980 against Nottingham Forest. In their previous away games at this stage of the European Cup/Champions League, Ajax have produced a W2 D2 L4 record. This is their first encounter against an English side in Europe since they met Manchester United in the 2016/17 Europa League Final. Ajax were unbeaten in three games against English sides before losing their final against the Red Devils 2-0.

The record of the Dutch side in England is not particularly good as they have only ever one once there (D5 L4). So while that is not a great record they had been so impressive on their travels in this season’s Champions League. Their last victory in England was in the 2011/12 Europa League against Man Utd. In London specifically, Ajax are W1 D2 L1. Ajax hold a W3 L4 record in two-legged ties against English teams. Ajax have lost each of their last four such ties.

What made their victory at Real Madrid in the round of 16 so impressive, was not only the 4-1 scoreline that they produced, but the Dutch side had been winless in seven UEFA champions league knockout stage fixtures. They had lost three away knockout stage fixtures in a row before that win at the Bernabeu. It is just one defeat this season that Ajax have suffered in Europe, as the Amsterdammers have posted a W9 D6 record in their 16 European matches in 2018/19. They are the first side ever to reach the final four of the Champions League having gone through three rounds of qualifying.

Tottenham v Ajax Tips & Odds

Both teams to score at 4/6
Spurs to win by a one-goal margin at 3/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 28th, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.)

Tottenham v Ajax Predictions

Tottenham to win: This tie is going to be pretty open, at least that’s how it feels. Ajax have produced some superb away performances in this season’s tournament but Spurs have also shown great character. Tottenham to win but both teams to score.

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