The Silviniaco Conti Chase on Saturday from Kempton is missing a big name. It was announced this week by trainer Nicky Henderson that Altior was not ready to come out and take on the challenge. That’s a blow for the spectacle, which is now expected to be a straight battle between Top Notch and Frodon.
Silviniaco Conti Chase Odds*
Top Notch 5/6
Frodon 2/1
Kauto Riko 7/1
Born Survivor 20/1
Keeper Hill 25/1
*( betting odds taken from Bet365 on January 10th, 2019 at 2:45 pm)
Horse Racing Betting at Bet365
Table of Contents
Top Notch holds slight favouritism
Top Notch is such a strong performer and given that the challenges in this small field at Kempton on Saturday isn’t really offering much top Class 1 opposition, he would need a really bad day at the office to not be pushing for a victory. He is such a star performer and at the end of the day, trainer Nicky Henderson may not be missing Altior too much in this fixture if Top Notch fulfils his potential.
Top Notch has been out twice since the start of November and put in victories at Aintree and Huntington. That was a much welcome return to form after a couple of blips earlier in the season, including in the Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham. He’s holding 4/5 favouritism for Saturday’s run with Bet365 and he won this 12 months ago, potentially at a lighter weight than he was then*( betting odds taken from Bet365 on January 10th, 2019 at 2:45 pm).
Can Frodon raise his game?
Bryony Frost will be in the saddle for Frodon and the gelding needs a step up in performance here. Like Top Notch, he is a course and distance winner, but he struggled to get up to pace over the winter. He made his return in late October and was only third at Aintree in a Class 1 field of five. Then a month later he was a third of four at Haydock 15l behind winner LostInTranslation in the Betfair Chase. It’s not been quite the follow up for him after winning the Ryanair at Cheltenham in mid-March last year.
Kauto Riko
Kauto Riko comes in at a very interesting 7/1 option for the Silviniaco Conti Chase at Kempton Saturday*( betting odds taken from Bet365 on January 10th, 2019 at 2:45 pm). In his last race, in early December last year, he was a second-placed 100/1 shot in the Fitzdares Peterborough Chase, behind only Top Notch and just three-quarters of a length back at that. He just has to be well respected after that run and could shake things up.
Born Survivor was fourth in that Huntington Fitzdares Peterborough Chase, not really getting himself in contention from the six-horse field. So it’s unlikely that he is going to be able to turn the tables on not only Kauto Rikio, but of course, Top Notch as well.
Keeper Hill pulled up in his last race, which was at Cheltenham in December. That followed a Class 2 win in late November at Haydock. The Irish runner is a distance winner but is likely to find himself out of the frame in this one.
Prediction
How great would it have been to have seen Altior lining up in this one? Immense. But he’s not and therefore it has to all be about Top Notch. He rarely puts a foot wrong and given that the formidable duo of Bryony Frost and Frodon haven’t been on top of their game recently, it has to be the favourite, with a curious eye cast on Kauto Riko.
Bet365 ITV Racing 4/1 Offer
Some of Saturday’s Kempton action (including the Silviniaco Conti Chase) is being broadcast on ITV Racing so will fall into the Bet365 4/1 Winner Offer. Therefore if you back a winner of at least 4/1 odds then you will be able to play a wager to the same stake (up to £50) on the next race broadcast live.
If that following selection loses, you will get a stake refunded. The Bet365 offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.
If the following bet were to also win at odds of 4/1 then the offer would roll on to the next qualifying race until the winning sequence at those minimum odds is broken. At that point, you would still end up with the receipt of a refund.
Key Terms & Conditions
Risk-free bets must be placed on the next eligible race using your own funds – if your bet loses then the stake will be refunded to your account shortly after the race.
Refund up-to £50 per race.
The first bet on a race will be deemed as your qualifying bet.
If you back the winner of the last race on any day, your risk-free bet will be the first bet you place on the next qualifying race.
Does not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out.
Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, any refund amount or subsequent risk free bet amount will be equal to the remaining active stake.
If a qualifying bet is edited using our Edit Bet feature, any refund amount will be equal to the new stake and not the original stake.
Where a risk free bet is changed using Edit Bet, no refund will be given and the offer will no longer apply.
Applies to bets placed on Win and Each-Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place markets.
Does not apply to Ante-Post bets and Tote/Pari-Mutuel (bets and dividends).
Bets can be paid for from either your Withdrawable Balance or Bet Credits. Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed with Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.
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