Newcastle 15:35 Racing Odds and Predictions June 27 – Carnwennan 7/1 with Coral for Northumberland Plate

Can't knock Carnwennan in Northumberland Plate

Horse Racing Betting

It’s five years since Turf racing on the Flat at Newcastle was ended.
There are still those who regret the laying of the Tapeta track but it hasn’t detracted from the spectacle that is the Northumberland Plate, the biggest and most valuable race of the year at Gosforth Park.
The ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ has, for years, been a high point of the social scene in the north east but there will be no finery or millenary to admire this year due to Covid-19 restrictions and that has sort of been reflected in the entries for this year’s race, which is worth a lot less to the winner than in recent seasons.

Northumberland Plate History

First run in 1833, the Northumberland Plate surprisingly didn’t arrive at Newcastle until 1882.
Run over a shade over 2m, the staging of the Class 2 handicap was initially timed to coincide with the holiday week of local mine workers, hence its nickname.
In normal years, it is one of the richest handicaps in the north of England in normal years so nearly always attracts a maximum field and some top stayers.
There is a relatively short run to the sharp bend away from the home straight so it is usually an advantage to be drawn nearer the inside rail.

Recent Winners

Year Winner Age Weight Jockey Trainer SP
Turf before 2016
2011 Tominator 4 8-05 Paul Pickard Reg Hollinshead 25/1
2012 Ile de Re 6 9-03 Jim Crowley Donald McCain 5/2
2013 Tominator 6 9-10 Graham Lee Jonjo O’Neill 8/1
2014 Angel Gabrial 5 8-12 George Chaloner Richard Fahey 4/1
2015 Quest For More 5 9-04 George Baker Roger Charlton 15/2
2016 Antiquarium 4 9-05 James McDonald Charlie Appleby 16/1
2017 Higher Power 5 9-09 Tom Queally James Fanshawe 11/2
2018 Withhold 5 9-01 Robert Winston Roger Charlton 5/1
2019 Who Dares Wins 7 9-01 Tom Marquand Alan King 12/1


  • 94 per cent of the last 18 winners finished fifth or better on their previous start
  • 94 per cent of the last 18 winners had won over at least 1m4f previously
  • 89 per cent of the last 18 winners were drawn 14 or lower
  • 83 per cent of the last 18 winners were aged six or younger

Northumberland Plate Current Best Odds

Australis  6/1
Carnwennan 7/1
Caravan Of Hope 8/1
Smart Champion 9/1
Rainbow Dreamer 10/1
Anyonecanhaveitall 12/1
Rajinsky 14/1
Collide, Cosmelli, Reshoun and King’s Advice 16/1
Just Hubert and Magic Circle 20/1
Denmead 25/1
Glencadam Glory and Mukha Magic 33/1
Technological, Sevenna Star and Hiroshima 50/1
Financial Conduct 66/1
(Odds correct at 11:30 BST June 26, 2020)

Horse Racing Betting at Ladbrokes

Northumberland Plate Predictions

CARNWENNAN won the consolation Northumberland Vase over 2m at Newcastle a year ago and is now a general 7/1 to win the big one itself.
He was probably still improving at the start of the year, finishing second at both Kempton and Newcastle, and his yard is in good form so there are few negatives stacked up against the five-year-old.
Only half-a-length separated Australis and Caravan Of Hope over 1m6f at Wolverhampton earlier this month.
The runner-up is now 2lb better off and a general 8/1 compared to the best 6/1 on offer for Roger Varian’s four-year-old. That disparity in odds doesn’t really compute as both are probably capable of improvement and, if anything, Hugo Palmer’s charge has the stronger staying pedigree.
Cosmelli (a general 16/1) is another former winner of the Northumberland Vase who has been running well enough this year to merit each-way consideration.
Anyonecanhaveitall boasted consistent form in staying handicaps last year and was just touched off on his reappearance over 2m1f at Pontefract so has to go on the shortlist at a general 12/1.
Rajinsky (a general 14/1) has yet to prove his stamina but the 1m4f at Newbury was clearly too short and he’d been on an upward curve before that.
Reshoun (a general 16/1) won over 2m at Kempton in November but his stamina will be under pressure in this much more competitive affair and Collide (16/1 with Ladbrokes) was never travelling at Royal Ascot 10 days ago and is another who may be found wanting in the staying department.
Rainbow Dreamer should give a good account, however.
Hollie Doyle and trainer Alan King will be eyeing another big-race success with the seven-year-old.
He ran a terrific race in the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes at Newcastle three weeks ago when under three lengths behind the subsequent Ascot Gold Cup runner-up Nayef Road.
King’s Advice (a best 16/1) was three lengths behind and is only a pound better off. Previously, the King runner had won all of his five previous starts on the all-weather, though all of those were in small fields. The 10/1 with Bet365 is tempting but a high draw tempers enthusiasm and his age is also slightly against the trends.

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